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『一』Blockchain status quo and future development trends
Blockchain has developed to 3.0, and application exploration is the current goal
According to IDC definition , Blockchain refers to a distributed ledger that records information and data. The ledger is stored between multiple participants in the peer-to-peer network. Participants can use cryptographic signatures to add new transactions to the existing transaction chain, forming a secure, continuous, and immutable chained data structure; from a data perspective It seems that blockchain is a kind of distributed data that cannot be changed.
In 2008, an article titled "Bitcoin—A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System" marked the birth of Bitcoin and the beginning of the global blockchain industry. Since its development, the blockchain has developed from 1.0 to 3.0, from the characteristics of digital currency to the application exploration stage.
The above data comes from the "China Blockchain Industry" by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute "In-depth Analysis Report on Business Model Innovation and Investment Opportunities". At the same time, the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute also provides solutions such as industrial big data, industrial planning, industrial declaration, industrial park planning, and industrial investment promotion. < p>Blockchain technology is expected to be widely used in the economic field
Blockchain technology has strong practical significance in cultivating new drivers of economic growth, building an honest society, improving the level of management technology, and easing the financing difficulties of small and medium-sized enterprises. , is expected to be widely used in the economic field. At present, the application of blockchain technology is still in the early stage of development and faces many challenges. We must actively promote the application of blockchain in multiple fields, scenarios and environments of the economy and society, create a good industrial development environment, improve the quality of development, and strengthen Blockchain core technology research and development, professional application demonstration, strengthening standard manufacturing, talent training and the construction of public service platforms.
China’s blockchain market spending in 2019 will be close to US$300 million
According to the “In-depth Analysis Report on Business Model Innovation and Investment Opportunities in China’s Blockchain Industry” released by the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute 》Statistics show that as of 2017, China’s blockchain market expenditure was only US$83 million. In 2018, China’s blockchain market expenditure will reach US$160 million. It is also predicted that China’s blockchain market spending will be close to US$300 million in 2019. At this stage, the overall market size of blockchain is small. This is because most of the blockchain projects on the market are in the experimental stage and the investment is not large. On the other hand, many companies have realized the potential of blockchain and plan to increase their budgets in the future. Affected by this, China's blockchain market will usher in rapid growth, with market expenditures expected to reach US$1.95 billion in 2023. The average annual compound growth rate from 2019 to 2023 is 60.51%.
Statistics and forecasts of China’s blockchain market expenditure from 2017 to 2023
Data source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
Analysis of unfavorable factors for the development of China’s blockchain
1. The technology is not mature enough. At present, blockchain technology is not yet mature in terms of system stability, application security, and business models, and cannot meet the requirements of "high efficiency and low energy", "decentralization" and "security" at the same time. First, performance issues. The transaction throughput that can be carried out on the blockchain is not high, and the current block capacity is very small, which leads to network congestion and high-frequency business needs are difficult to meet. Many projects are also working on optimization, but they are far from real scenarios such as banks. There is still a certain distance between the transaction throughput of , stock exchanges, etc. Second, there is the issue of consensus mechanism. In terms of energy consumption, consensus algorithms such as workload proof consume a lot of energy and cost, causing the blockchain to waste a lot of computing power and matching power across the entire network. In terms of types, the current blockchain consensus mechanisms are too few in type and will be diversified in the future. In business scenarios, a richer consensus mechanism is inevitably needed to adapt. Third, security issues. Issues such as privacy protection, harmful information on-chain, smart contract vulnerabilities, consensus mechanism and private key protection, computing power attacks, cryptographic algorithm security, etc. all make the blockchain face a severe situation of platform security and application security. Fourth, database issues. Unlike traditional databases, blockchain applications require a large number of write operations, HASH calculations, and verification operations. Database systems specifically for blockchain are still difficult to overcome.
2. The application scenario is unclear
Currently, the blockchain project is still in the exploratory stage, and no specific implementation scenario can be found. At present, promising areas include finance, sharing economy, Internet of Things, public services, etc. However, judging from the maturity of existing blockchain technology, there are still many problems in blockchain applications, and there is still a gap between actual use. First, the immaturity of blockchain technology has restricted commercial applications. Although there are currently many types of core blockchain technologies such as privacy protection algorithms and consensus mechanisms, they are generally not commercially available. Secondly, the application model of blockchain is still being explored, and the "irreplaceable" advantages of blockchain have not yet been realized. The blockchain itself represents a consensus system, and a consensus system that conforms to the corresponding business scenario should be built from a higher level, not just "business + blockchain". China has a large number of users, complex business scenarios, and any commercial product will involve a very large traffic and population, and the current blockchain technology cannot satisfy it.
3. Scarcity of professional talents
Blockchain technology is a multi-disciplinary and cross-field technology, which mainly involves operating systems, network communications, cryptography, mathematics, and finance. , production, etc., but currently our country still has shortcomings in interdisciplinary fields and fields, and the supply of talents in related fields is seriously insufficient. On the one hand, there is a huge gap in R&D technical talents. Blockchain technology research and development is mainly focused on programming languages such as Go, Javascript, C and C+On the market, new smart contracts use new functional programming languages such as Haskell, Ocaml, and Rholang. There is a huge gap in China's talent market for technical talents with senior R&D experience in relevant languages. On the other hand, there is a lack of design talent at the bottom level. Different from R&D technical talents, blockchain underlying system architecture design talents must master multiple cross-disciplinary professional skills. They must not only have an in-depth understanding of the underlying design principles of blockchain and have experience in the design of various system architectures, but also master the business logic of specific application scenarios. . Although some colleges and universities have launched cross-disciplinary education and blockchain-specific technical disciplines, professional talents are still very scarce.
Analysis of favorable factors for the development of China’s blockchain
1. Favorable policies promote development. In January 2017, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the "Software and Information Technology Service Industry Development Plan (2016-2020)", which proposed requirements for innovation in blockchain and other fields to reach international advanced levels. In August 2017, the State Council issued the "Guiding Opinions on Further Expanding and Upgrading Information Consumption to Continuously Release the Potential of Domestic Demand" and proposed to carry out pilot applications based on new technologies such as blockchain and artificial intelligence. In October 2017, the State Council issued the "Guiding Opinions on Actively Promoting Supply Chain Innovation and Application" proposing to study and use emerging technologies such as blockchain and artificial intelligence to establish a credit evaluation mechanism based on the supply chain.
In March 2018, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the "Key Points of the Standardization Work of the Informatization and Software Service Industry in 2018", proposing to promote the establishment of the National Informatization and Industrialization Integrated Management Standardization Technical Committee, the National Blockchain and Distributed Records Accounting Technology Standardization Committee. In June 2018, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the "Industrial Internet Development Action Plan (2018-2020)" to encourage and promote the application research of emerging cutting-edge technologies such as edge computing, deep learning, and blockchain in the Industrial Internet.
Since blockchain was first included in the "13th Five-Year Plan" National Informatization Plan in 2016, blockchain has increasingly received attention and attention from the national government. Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Hebei, Twenty-four provinces, cities or regions including Jiangsu, Shandong, Guizhou, Gansu and Hainan have launched dividend policies, launched the layout of the blockchain industry chain, and actively explored industry applications based on blockchain.
2. The blockchain industry is gradually taking shape
At present, my country’s blockchain technology continues to innovate, and the blockchain industry is gradually taking shape, starting in supply chain finance, credit reporting, and product traceability. , copyright transactions, digital identity, electronic evidence and other fields are expected to promote technological changes, organizational changes and efficiency changes in our country's economic system, making important contributions to building a modern economic system. With the continuous influx of entrepreneurs and capital, the number of enterprises has increased rapidly. Blockchain applications will be implemented faster, boosting the high-quality development of traditional industries, accelerating industrial transformation and upgrading, using blockchain technology to "reduce costs" and "increase efficiency" for the real economy, and promote the standardized development of traditional industries. In addition, blockchain technology is evolving into new business formats and becoming a new driving force for economic development.Blockchain technology is promoting a new round of business model changes and becoming an important support for building an honest social system.
3. Broad application prospects in the future
In the past, the circulation of physical banknotes was difficult to trace, but with the application of blockchain technology, the flow of all digital assets can be traced There will be "chains" to check. For example, in the financial field, blockchain is expected to solve the pain points and difficulties in the payment field, reduce the complexity of transactions, increase the end-to-end speed of transactions, reduce communication costs in the transaction process, and improve the transparency and non-tamperability of transaction records. The cost of reconciliation, clearing, and settlement between financial institutions, especially cross-border financial institutions, has always been high, and there are complex manual processes. Blockchain technology has data that cannot be tampered with and is traceable, and its application can help reduce financial costs. The cost of reconciliation and dispute resolution between institutions can significantly improve the processing speed and efficiency of payment business, and also make small-amount cross-border payments possible. In addition, the application of blockchain will also extend to many fields such as medical health, education, charity, social management, etc. The market prospects are very broad.
『三』 How will China promote the development of the blockchain industry in the future
The blockchain industry is on the eve of the explosion of applications
Blockchain as a part of the underlying technology With the support of policy trends, it is attracting more and more explorations of application implementation. At the 2019 Future Business Ecological Link Conference held recently, Zhu Youping, deputy secretary of the Party Branch of the China Economic Network Management Center of the National Information Center, pointed out that after 11 years of trial and error, the blockchain technology has basically become commercially available, and the industry has now reached an application explosion the night before.
Wu Xiaochuan, a senior expert in blockchain development at Zhongan Technology, told a reporter from the 21st Century Business Herald that the biggest difficulty in implementing the current blockchain industry is how to map the physical world and the blockchain world one by one. This requires a multidisciplinary effort to resolve. Internet of Things technology is an important part of it. With the support of 5G, cloud computing and other technologies, the future will bring more complements and support to the implementation of blockchain technology.
According to analysis agency Tractica, the global enterprise blockchain market will reach US$20.3 billion by 2025.
Key nodes in promoting technology and standards
Compared with other underlying technologies, blockchain has also gone through a relatively tortuous development process. In the integration of multiple technologies and the implementation of its own standards, There is still some way to go in terms of ranking.
In his speech at the aforementioned conference, Zhang Xiaojun, head of Huawei’s blockchain, pointed out that today’s blockchain technology is more like the development stage of the Internet in 2002-2003. If blockchain-related standards can mature in 2020, including cross-chain standards, storage standards, and standard data format storage, large-scale commercial use will be accelerated in 2021.
my country’s blockchain industry is still in its infancy, but with the continuous support of national policies, the continuous advancement of industry technology and the increasing demand in downstream application fields, my country’s blockchain industry is expected to continue to maintain high speed increase.In 2011, the market size of my country's blockchain industry was less than 6 million yuan. By 2018, the market size of the blockchain industry had grown to 67 million yuan, maintaining a rapid growth rate of more than 80%. It is expected that in 2022, driven by policy support and downstream demand, the market size of my country's blockchain industry is expected to exceed 450 million yuan.
China’s blockchain industry market size statistics and growth forecast from 2015 to 2022
Data source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
“The biggest advantage of blockchain is security. Even financial transactions with high security requirements can be completed here, but The biggest shortcoming is low efficiency." Zhu Youping pointed out to the 21st Century Business Herald reporter that with the technology support of 5G and even future quantum computing, these weaknesses will be quickly made up for.
For more data sources and analysis, please refer to the "In-depth Analysis Report on Business Model Innovation and Investment Opportunities in China's Blockchain Industry" released by the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute. At the same time, the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute also provides industry big data, Solutions for industrial planning, industrial declaration, industrial park planning, industrial investment promotion, etc.
『四』 "Hangzhou Blockchain Industry Report 2018" pdf download and read the full text online, please ask for Baidu Netdisk cloud resources
"Hangzhou Blockchain Industry Report 2018" 》Download the latest full set of network disk pdf:
Link: https://pan..com/s/10pDxblhmqUhQ4y3JNBDeSw?pwd=rzy8 Extraction code: rzy8
Introduction: In order to understand the blockchain industry in Hangzhou Technological innovation and application implementation have promoted the development of the blockchain industry in Hangzhou. Under the guidance of the leadership of the Finance Office, the Hangzhou Blockchain Technology and Application Federation organized the Shuqin Technology Blockchain Research Institute to jointly launch the "2018 Hangzhou Writing work of "Blockchain Industry Report".
In order to fully understand the situation, Hangzhou Blockchain Technology and Application Federation formed a special research team on May 28, 2018. After spending three months conducting research on nearly 30 blockchain companies in Hangzhou (nearly 20 of which were field surveys), the team mastered a large amount of first-hand information. After more than two months of writing and repeated revisions, the report was finally completed in early November.
『Wu』How does blockchain application help enterprises to innovate their layout?
It is pointed out in the "China Blockchain Industry Market Prospects and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report" : The compound annual growth rate of the blockchain market size from 2021 to 2026 will reach 73%. The market size in 2026 will reach US$16.368 billion, and in the next 20 years, the market size of China's blockchain industry is expected to reach the trillion level.
Under the strong market demand, the country has successively introduced a number of policies to support the development of blockchain, and blockchain has been listed asThe digital economy industry and the national key research and development plan have been included in the "14th Five-Year Plan" national planning outline. At this point, the development of blockchain has entered the fast lane.
As a pilot demonstration project of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (the only blockchain) in 2018 and a blockchain registration enterprise of the Cyberspace Administration of China in 2019 (the first batch), Yibaoquan has been deeply involved in the research and development of blockchain underlying technology since 2014. Application innovation, through the "blockchain + judicial + application" model, launched practical application products such as Junzi Sign, Micro Copyright, and Zhong Zhengbao. Through Junzishu, users can sign a contract in one minute. Off-site contracts can also be signed anytime and anywhere without printing or express delivery, and are managed efficiently. At the same time, it can also be permanently stored on the blockchain and filed simultaneously with judicial institutions to ensure legality and validity.
Through micro-copyright, it helps users quickly carry out blockchain certificate storage, copyright registration, network-wide monitoring and analysis, and network evidence collection. Copyright certificates can be issued as quickly as one day. Paper and electronic versions are supported, allowing users to Obtain proof of ownership and infringement evidence in one go.
Through Zhongzhengbao, we build an Internet notarization system and an Internet arbitration system for notary offices and arbitration committees respectively, provide online arbitration services to financial institutions, and help notary and arbitration businesses achieve comprehensive digital transformation and upgrading.
With its vast blue ocean market and professional and fully supporting solutions, Yibaoquan stands out from many projects
What is the future development trend of "Lu" blockchain
——For the above data sources and analysis, please refer to the "China Blockchain Industry Market Forecast and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report" by the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute.
The industry technology research process continues to advance
In recent years, the global blockchain technology research process has accelerated, and the number of industry patent applications has increased rapidly. According to SOOPAT statistics, from 2014 to 2018, the number of global blockchain patents continued to rise. By 2018, the number of global blockchain patent applications had reached 2,966. Among them, the number of blockchain patents in China in 2018 increased from 33.33% in 2014 to 82.1% in 2018.
However, although global blockchain technology has been continuously developing and innovating in recent years, there is currently no universal evaluation standard and system that can evaluate the technical performance, efficiency and scalability of blockchain. Detailed specifications on issues such as sex and safety. Overall, blockchain technology awaits further breakthroughs.
China’s blockchain technology tends to serve applications
< p> In terms of technical direction, the core of China’s blockchain technology is to serve physical applications, while American blockchain technology is still solving potential problems of blockchain, which has led to the domestic focus on alliance chain applications and the hope of optimizing blockchain technology to meet the needs of high-concurrency applications; foreign countries focus on the application of public chains and carry out optimization and innovation of core technologies based on the characteristics of public chains. In terms of application, domestic blockchain focuses on service industry applications and tends to be a “coin-free zone”."Blockchain"; most of the United States are public chains, which tend to circulate digital assets.『撒』What is the development trend of blockchain
Since blockchain is going to become the future development Trend, blockchain technology definitely has its own advantages over traditional technology.
1. Decentralization.
The core advantage of blockchain technology is that it does not require a traditional centralized organization. Distributed systems do not rely on point-to-point transactions, coordination and collaboration in a certain credit center, thus avoiding the common problems of data security, collaboration efficiency and risk control in centralized institutions.
2. High security.
In blockchain technology, data is difficult to tamper with. The database recording transactions can be accessed by anyone. In this transparent and open model, everyone can act as a supervisor, and everyone can see any changes in the data at a glance. , more secure than traditional technology.
3. More reliable.
Blockchain technology connects multiple nodes in different places. The nodes in the blockchain interact through point-to-point communication protocols. Different developers can use different programming languages and different versions of full nodes to process transactions on different nodes while ensuring consistent communication protocols.
Simply put, when a node encounters network problems, hardware failures, Software errors or being controlled by hackers will not affect other participating nodes and the operation of the system.
So compared to traditional technology, blockchain is more reliable.
So I firmly believe that blockchain Application must be the future development trend.