区块链下一次牛市的时候,2021年区块链牛市
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㈠ When will Bitcoin’s next bull market start?
Senior trader Peter Brandt hinted in a tweet that Bitcoin is likely to have to wait until 2024 to start a new round. "Crazy Bull Market".
Data given by Peter Brandt shows that Bitcoin’s next round of “mad bull” may have to wait until May 2024, which is almost the same as the next Bitcoin “halving” progress. In the past two halvings, Bitcoin has risen 10 times or more, and it takes the cryptocurrency an average of 33 months to start a bull market. He explained that if history repeats itself, the next bull market will start in May 2024.
Some market participants have become accustomed to Bitcoin’s price highs occurring every four years, paying particular attention to the second year after each Bitcoin “halving” is completed. In May 2020, Bitcoin completed its third halving since its birth. In 2021, Bitcoin has risen by 59.7%. In the short term, against the macro backdrop of the Federal Reserve starting to raise interest rates and accelerating its balance sheet reduction, the market generally believes that the prospects for risky assets such as Bitcoin are not optimistic.
㈡ Why is it said that there is only the last big bull market left in the currency circle
Hello, this bull market in the currency circle may be the last halving bull market that can be clearly predicted. The main reasons are as follows:
1) The demographic dividend has dropped significantly, and everyone who should know about Bitcoin already knows it;
2) The number of Bitcoin halving has dropped significantly;
3) The proportion of Bitcoin’s total market value continues to decrease, and the blockchain market will be closer to markets such as US stocks and real estate.
㈢How high can fil go in the next bull market?
It has skyrocketed tenfold in just two months. It is not considered a sacred coin. Many people asked in private messages whether they can still pursue it. Whether it can rise to 3,000 US dollars, the village chief finds it difficult. It has increased tenfold in two months and has overdrawn most of the future. And currently, fil's gameplay is completely based on the capital market. Friends, it is better to be careful. .
Can I buy this fil? Can I buy a mining machine?
I think this is not a good time. Even if there is still development in the future, the increase has already been more than ten times in the short term, and there are too many profit opportunities. Just wait, it will take a few months. Not a loss.
As for the mining machine, the village chief here thinks it is a pit, a huge pit, a deep pit, a pit that leads to death.
fil's mining model is very reluctant to say that it is mining, and it is completely based on the capital disk method. A large part of the coins we privately raised in the early stage have not yet been unlocked. After asking the official for a long time, the official did not give a clear explanation. Now participating in mining requires pledging and consuming a large amount of fil. Moreover, among the coins mined, there are still 75% of the positions need to be locked for up to six months.
After these rounds of operations, everyone’s money was used to buy mining machines, and then the number of coins circulating on the market decreased. The mining machine merchants took the money and handed over a large amount of it.The dealers use everyone's money to pull the market, and the price naturally goes up. In the process, the mining machine sellers also increase the price of computing power a lot, and retail investors buy without knowing it. The price is very high now. Mining is very cost-effective. When the coins mined by the mining machines of this group of people who enter the market are unlocked in the future, the selling pressure will be huge.
㈣ Flow Coin’s Next Bull Market Performance
FLOW technical analysis shows that bull market momentum is building, with the bullish trend continuing above $2.67.
Upcoming Trend
If buying pressure increases, FLOW price will break out of the $2.67 top and reach overhead resistance at $3.38. Furthermore, if the $3.38 resistance falls, the market cap will rise towards the $4.5 mark.
㈤ Will there be another bull market for Bitcoin in 2025?
Unsure.
Bitcoin is an ever-changing asset, and everyone views it differently.
Some people believe that Bitcoin will have a bull market in the next few years, while others believe that it will not have a bull market. Therefore, whether Bitcoin will have the next bull market in 2025 is uncertain.
㈥ Will the next bull market in the currency circle be in 2023?
Let me start with the conclusion: I think there will be a big bull market similar to 2015 in 2022 or 2023.
Reason 1: Once every 6 to 8 years, the time has come
Let’s first sort out the previous rounds of bull markets.
In the bull market in June 2015, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a maximum of 5,178 points.
In the bull market in October 2007, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a maximum of 6124 points.
In the bull market in June 2001, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a maximum of 2,245 points.
After sorting through the last few rounds of bull markets, it is not difficult to find that the bull market only happens once every 6 to 8 years.
So, after the big bull market in 2015, according to the rule of once every 6 to 8 years, the next big bull market is expected to be 2022 to 2023.
Some students said: "Because of the implementation of the registration system, the Chinese stock market will never have a big bull market like 2015 and 2007 in the future."
I think that the GEM and the Science and Technology Innovation Board have already implemented the registration system. Even if the A-share market implements the registration system across the board in the future, there will still be vigorous growth. Big bull market. Because the proportion of retail investors in China’s stock market is high, andHuman nature remains unchanged, greed and fear will not change.
Reason two: the addition of incremental funds
The arrival of the big bull market requires Addition of incremental funds.
The current situation (December 2021) is very similar to that before the big bull market in 2015. The property market was in a downturn. The property market was also in a downturn in 2014.
Due to the downturn in the real estate market, many funds invested in the real estate market will instead be invested in the stock market. This is the first incremental capital, that is, capital transferred from the property market to the stock market.
The second incremental capital is the incremental capital from newly opened retail accounts. In China's stock market, retail investors account for a very large proportion. When the bull market comes, word of mouth spreads about the money-making effect, and new retail investors will rush into the market. China is the world's most populous country and has a large number of new retail investors.
Dear students, you can ask yourself: When did you enter the market?
You can also ask your relatives and friends around you, when did they enter the market?
The answer is very likely that most retail investors entered the market during the bull market of 2014-2015, or the bull market of 2006-2007.
Zhang Zheng, I entered the industry in 2000, my wife entered the industry in 2006-2007, and many of my young friends around me entered the industry in 2014-2015. field.
Why there is only a big bull market every 6 to 8 years? It is also because leeks (new retail investors) need sufficient time to have sufficient quantities.
Reason 3: Support of monetary policy
Modern currencies are all credit currencies .
The monetary policies of central banks in various countries play a decisive role in the loosening or tightening of their own monetary policy.
As the world’s central bank, the Federal Reserve plays a decisive role in the loosening or tightening of global monetary policy.
From 2022 to 2023, the Federal Reserve will most likely implement tightening and tighten monetary policy to deal with inflation. When the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy, most asset prices across the world will fall.
If the People’s Bank of China follows the Fed’s tightening monetary policy, there will most likely not be a bull market.
However, on December 15, 2021, the Central Bank of China lowered the RMB deposit reserve ratio by 0.5%, indicating that the Central Bank of China will implement a loosening monetary policy in the future. . Under loosening monetary policy, it will be beneficial toThe stock market is rising.
So, if a bull market comes, what will happen in life?
With the advent of the bull market, the performance of the stock market is of course that the index and individual stocks are rising steadily.
㈦ Will there really be a bull market after Bitcoin’s halving in 2020?
According to Satoshi Nakamoto’s settings, Bitcoin will be around May next year On to the third halving.
Before and after the previous halvings, the price has changed significantly.
Will Bitcoin really have a bull market in 2020?
The formation of a bull market also requires the support of many forces, such as policies, technological breakthroughs, economic crises, etc. Halving will not directly bring about a bull market, but it is the basic force that forms the bull market.
As can be seen from the above picture, the price trend of Bitcoin follows a certain rhythm, and this rhythm is a completely market-oriented behavior. There is a high probability that the next bull market will follow the same rhythm. But whether you believe in the laws of history or not, they are not controlled by your subjective will. Just like tossing a coin, if the 9 tosses are heads, everyone will automatically think that the 10th time will be positive with a high probability. . The fact is that the probability of a positive or negative outcome is always 50%. The probability never changes, it becomes just everyone's expectation.
Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared. Don’t sigh in the future bull market. As for which trading platform is more reliable, it is recommended to favor the leading exchanges, old exchanges, such as Huobi, Manbi, OKEX, etc.
㈧ Filecoin will be the next round after Bitcoin Ethereum Bull market
This can only be judged based on existing technical strength and market trends.
From the perspective of demand market, with the development of global communication technology and Internet technology, network data is showing explosive growth, and storage demand is increasing;
From the perspective of Filecoin technology development, it was proposed in 2014 and financed in 2017 Completed, the mainnet will be online in 2020, and the computing power continues to increase. In less than three months since it was launched, the computing power has been close to 2EiB. The growth rate is rapid, and with the implementation of the technology, the supply and demand market will be ignited immediately, and an unprecedented unprecedented situation will begin. In the bull market, trillion-level dividends will ignite the entire blockchain industry.
㈨ The blockchain is still short of an explosion point before the bull market. No, IEO is coming
Have you noticed recently that most platform coins are rising? This is related to IEO, a new term that has been popular recently. Many big names in the industry said that IEO may be the strongest force behind the start of the Bitcoin bull market, and is also the "behind-the-scenes driving force" of this market.
So what is an IEO?
The full English name of IEO is: Initial Exchange Offering, which is the first exchange.issued. It refers to the act of using an exchange as a fundraising platform to issue (sell) tokens to users of the exchange, and then the exchange will become the main trading market for the token in the secondary market. The most recent example is a series of projects on Binance Launchpad, led by BitTorrent.
Let’s not say whether IEO is the force behind the start of the bull market, but it is definitely the real driving force behind the recent surge in platform currencies. It is IEO that allows the platform currency to become the base currency for new currency issuance.
This is just like the ICO that was popular back then, which directly made the penniless Ethereum become the most popular currency after Bitcoin. At the same time, a magnificent bull market was set off that lasted for one year. Many coins soared through the Ethereum ICO and became cryptocurrency giants with a market value of billions or even tens of billions. This includes some of the most talked about cryptocurrencies in the industry such as EOS.
What other ways to play before IEO?
The full English name of 1CO: Initial Coin Offering, which is the initial coin offering. Refers to the blockchain project team issuing its own tokens to the public at the beginning of the project in exchange for mainstream currencies such as Ethereum and Bitcoin, which play a role in raising funds. The ICO model reached its peak in 2017, with a large number of low-quality scams Projects appeared frequently, and in 2018, this model gradually faded.
The full English name of IFO: Initial Fork Offering, which is the first fork offering. Based on the functional attributes and users of Bitcoin and other mainstream currencies, and on the grounds of modifying the future route or supplementing defects, a new token issuance method is generated by forking a certain cryptocurrency. The most recent case is Craig in November 2018 Steven Wright forked BCH to generate a new token BSV.
IMO English full name: Initial Miner Offering, which is the first mining machine issuance. It means that the project party sells its own mining machines (hardware products), and users issue tokens by purchasing officially certified hardware products for mining. The most well-known cases are the former Xunlei Wanke Cloud and Wanke Coin.
Why did IEO become so popular?
1. Blockchain requires financing channels.
2. This mode is extremely operable.
3. Exchanges need to burn their boats.
Although ICO is a good financing method, due to being used by the wrong people in the wrong place, ICO has become a naked and pure way of cutting leeks. But if something can be used to cut leeks, it means that it must have merit, just as the reason for every bubble is people's overestimation and the craze caused by this thing.
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In the end, the bull market did not really arrive.
For adventurers who want to participate in IEO, the following points may be useful to you.
1. Not all exchanges are Binance, or not all exchanges have the foundation of Binance.
2. Try not to buy KYC, otherwise there is a high probability that your money will be wasted.
3. The first project of a large exchange has a high probability of making a profit without losing money.
4. The safest way is to buy platform coins, but be sure not to fill your position because the opportunity cost is too heavy.
5. This model will grow several good "new" platforms, so the odds of small platforms are good. You can spend a little money to try a few new platforms that you think look good. , their platform currency may have a more impressive increase.
6. If you meet the conditions, it is a good choice to "innovate" the projects of major exchanges and new high-quality exchanges.
7. Whether you are buying platform coins, playing new games, entering the market at the beginning of the market, or any other way to participate, you must know that you are participating in an extremely asymmetric game, and the platform can see your cards. And you can't see the platform cards.
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