宏观经济学与新的市场发展区块链,一种区块链技术的微观经济学分析

⑴ Blockchain and wealth redistribution theory: wealth and value will be distributed again

When talking about wealth redistribution theory, we have to talk about the current status of wealth distribution in China.

We know that the healthiest societies are olive-shaped. There is a huge middle class in the middle, and a small number of rich and poor at both ends. China's current social structure is definitely not an olive shape, nor a relatively stable pyramid shape, but an inverted T shape. The bottom layer is huge, with a very small proportion of wealth, and the one with huge wealth also accounts for a very small proportion. This structure is like a house supported by a pillar. It is very unstable and the risks are obvious.

To put it simply, capital now accounts for too large a proportion in the primary distribution of national wealth, while labor accounts for too small a proportion in the distribution. Just imagine, if this situation cannot be improved throughout their lives, what will people do? Most people will try to join a game-a game of wealth redistribution. For example, in the capital market, participants mobilize all resources and ingenuity for their own dreams, and fully engage in the game. You come and go, gain and lose, and your heart beats wildly. It is really exciting. After stimulation, social wealth generally changes and secondary distribution is completed. Of course, this distribution is still seriously unbalanced: the wallets of most people will be deflated before the wallets of a few people will be bulging.

Economist Mr. Wu Jinglian once described the Chinese stock market as a casino, where activities such as bookmaking, speculation, and stock price manipulation have reached their peak. No one can say how much wealth transfer and redistribution has been achieved as a result. clear. The GEM created 13 billionaires on the day it was established. The Bank of Beijing created 78 multi-millionaires on the first day it was listed. The Bank of Nanjing also created 66 millionaires on the first day it was listed. The Bank of Ningbo created 7 billionaires. Millionaire executives. Who created this? Of course it was thousands of miserable people.

Another example is real estate speculation. Real estate has long become a "sharp tool" for redistributing wealth. Insightful people have seen this at least ten years ago. The residential attribute of real estate has been repeatedly weakened, while the investment attribute has been over-strengthened, becoming a way to redistribute wealth. Because housing prices are rising too fast, the rich who own capital and real estate are getting richer, and the poor are getting poorer. This is the current state of real estate. Since the investment attribute of real estate has gained the upper hand and even begun to dominate, speculation has been following it all the time. Since then, the problems of real estate have become more and more serious. Although the government frequently introduces various policies for macro-control, the resources that the government can use to redistribute wealth are very limited. Sometimes it can only demolish the east wall to make up for the west wall, leaving little room for maneuver.

In 2017, there was a topic about artificial intelligence and wealth redistribution. Specifically, if artificial intelligence is applied, can the gap between rich and poor be solved? At a related summit in Geneva, experts and scholars , politicsPolicymakers and humanitarians engaged in heated discussions. The answer is simply unrealistic. First of all, it is ridiculous to encourage institutions or large companies to develop artificial intelligence systems that benefit the public. After all, everyone needs to face a question: Where is the money?

In fact, the advent of all new technologies is related to Adoption is accompanied by a redistribution of wealth, which will create another kind of inequality, which will make users of old technologies excluded by technology. At the same time, mastering new technologies also requires certain learning capabilities and the ability to acquire human capital. So those who are initially less capable often do not benefit from new technology but suffer from it. For example, a recent piece of news said that JD.com has begun to use drones for delivery, which will save a lot of labor costs. The question is, what will happen to the labor costs that will be saved? Will there be unemployment? Of course we are not opposed to new technologies, but any technology cannot be too cold and should have humanistic care.

We have repeatedly said that just like Chairman Mao led us to divide the land from landlords, the blockchain will lead us to take back the wealth that originally belongs to us, that is, data assets, and help us own them in the future. The most valuable thing in the economic world - data. In the future, everyone will have a brand-new right that no one can infringe upon, called "data investment right." That is to say, in the future we will use personal data to participate in future economic activities and obtain everything we gain in the process. The right to distribute the income generated. This is where blockchain makes the most sense.